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Satisfaction

3430 Views 96 Replies 23 Participants Last post by  Sidviciouser
I like how the state posts the hunter satisfaction scores along with the harvest data. Ya, it's not perfect but I find it can be useful when looking at different choices going into the draw season. Since we have the new 2022 harvest data posted I decided to do some quick 10 key work last night. I am in the elk game so I only did this number crunch regarding elk. I did a simple average of the satisfaction per hunt per season type. All Units are weighted the same. These scores are on a scale of 1 to 5 with 1 being least satisfied with the hunt and 5 being most satisfied. Here is what I came up with:

Archery: 3.72
Muzzleloader: 4.02
Early Rifle: 4.09
Late Rifle: 3.96
Multi Season: 3.54

Mid Season: 3.60
September Archery: 3.39
HAMS: 3.70

CWMU: 4.52


These surprised me a little. Especially the Multi-season hunt. I think guys have such high expectations and put so much pressure on themselves it diminishes the hunt for them. The high satisfaction on the CWMU doesn't really surprise me as they are including guided paying clients in this so I can see that being skewed. I wish they would only list the satisfaction of the public hunter, I would bet those scores would drop.

Using this along with harvest stats I would say the best value for your points is Muzzleloader and Late Rifle. The success % is comparable on these hunts to early rifle. Maybe if I find some time I can add in average success % to the discussion.

Interesting stuff
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Comparisons are the root of all unhappiness.

That's my drunken schitt post of the evening.
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Mine got hit already. Skull Crack Moose this fall for me!
If this is real. congrats! You should have fun. If not pox upon your draws!
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Fake news! Only I will be drawing a Skull Crack Moose permit this year!


With my paltry 14 points......

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I know I'll be hunting moose this fall. And I don't need to crack my skull to do it
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I know I'll be hunting moose this fall. And I don't need to crack my skull to do it
Where is our dislike button?

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To be fair, depending on which Johnny wins out this autumn, there is a good chance we'll read a trip report with at least a close call with a cracked skull :sneaky:

Though we'll still enjoy every word of it and be just a little jealous of the hunting life in Alaska.
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I kind of find it funny that folks say the early rifle rut hunt is so easy (which it is) but the harvest % is about the same as the late rifle. Take away there is if you moved those tags out of the rut to November you would probably kill about the same # of bulls.

I would bet lunch that when we get the harvest data next year that the mid season hunt success is going to be around 65%-70% overall and that is going to be a good point value to cash in on.
Thanks for doing the math on this Airborne, it's super interesting.

I think you are right about the number of bulls potentially harvested in November, but I'll bet the trophy value would go down. I think this is the big value to this early hunt. Most of the big animals come out that first week. Many of the big bulls are taken during this hunt while they are in the (elk) rut and before most of the pressure pushes them into sanctuaries.

I disagree about the mid season numbers. There is SO much pressure during and before this hunt that many will not fill their tags. You either need to know the area or hunt really hard for a long time, and most only take a week off work. None of the animals will be where you saw them when scouting. I believe this is why they are allowing so many mid season hunts. Burn up points without spending many more animals. I'm really hoping hunters get excited about the new mid season hunts and it pulls down the applicant numbers on late season. :sneaky:
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It will absolutely help more hunters draw tags, but I don't think it's going to help with point creep. Everyone keeps trying to help with point creep, and I think it's an "unhelpable" issue. Too many people want too few tags, and that is not going to change. Ever.
If you look at the application numbers over the last 5 years there was a big (35%-40%) increase I see in applications when the covid pandemic hit. People either had more time, free money, or a desire to maybe learn how to get their own food. Or a combination of those. Any chance some of these folks get busy, broke, or bored with hunting again? Or is the population just growing too big to outrun it?
I think you are right about the number of bulls potentially harvested in November, but I'll bet the trophy value would go down. I think this is the big value to this early hunt. Most of the big animals come out that first week. Many of the big bulls are taken during this hunt while they are in the (elk) rut and before most of the pressure pushes them into sanctuaries.
That is likely more a unit-by-unit difference. Many units the big bulls don't really show up until after the rut, whereas in other units the big bulls leave after the rut. For the geographically large units like the Wasatch and Manti this doesn't make as big of a difference. But there are many other units where it does.

One big tell is to look back over the years at all of the Governor's and Sportsman tags and see when those tag holders decided to pull the trigger. I would wager more of those tags have been filled after the rut than before or during.
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Thanks for doing the math on this Airborne, it's super interesting.

I think you are right about the number of bulls potentially harvested in November, but I'll bet the trophy value would go down. I think this is the big value to this early hunt. Most of the big animals come out that first week. Many of the big bulls are taken during this hunt while they are in the (elk) rut and before most of the pressure pushes them into sanctuaries.

I disagree about the mid season numbers. There is SO much pressure during and before this hunt that many will not fill their tags. You either need to know the area or hunt really hard for a long time, and most only take a week off work. None of the animals will be where you saw them when scouting. I believe this is why they are allowing so many mid season hunts. Burn up points without spending many more animals. I'm really hoping hunters get excited about the new mid season hunts and it pulls down the applicant numbers on late season. :sneaky:
The statistics bear out that there is little difference in harvest rates between the late and early season. The numbers are almost identical. On the units where mid season hunts have already been occurring, the success rates range from about 60% up to nearly the same level as the early and late hunts. The current thinking is that the lower success rates are likely due to increased pressure due to the hunt coinciding with the spike hunts. Some of the biggest bulls I've seen have been during spike hunts; often with large groups of cows. Sometimes the big bulls hang with the cows, other times they seem to isolate themselves during that season. My guess, is during the week, most hunters will see similar numbers of hunters as they do during the early hunts.

I'd take mid season vs the early late based on the fact that I could draw it with several points fewer and have a longer season with more predictable elk behavior. At least in the areas I've hunted. Get an early snow in October and you can find elk active all day.
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If you look at the application numbers over the last 5 years there was a big (35%-40%) increase I see in applications when the covid pandemic hit. People either had more time, free money, or a desire to maybe learn how to get their own food. Or a combination of those. Any chance some of these folks get busy, broke, or bored with hunting again? Or is the population just growing too big to outrun it?
Not just a Utah thing. Colorado and Wyoming have both seen the same uptick in applications. Seems like there was a sudden renewed interest in the outdoors and hunting. Maybe after a few years of fighting for tags and learning hunting is harder than it looks, some will give up. But so far, it appears to be here to stay.
Not just a Utah thing. Colorado and Wyoming have both seen the same uptick in applications. Seems like there was a sudden renewed interest in the outdoors and hunting. Maybe after a few years of fighting for tags and learning hunting is harder than it looks, some will give up. But so far, it appears to be here to stay.
Gosh I hope you are right.
I wish more people would take up golf and tennis.
All this chatter about best hunt to apply for, unit success percentages with early, mid, late season hunt dates. It truly reminds me of the movie "Moneyball". Has hunting come to the point of hunters paying for a subscription to a "company" (hunting fool, OnX, etc,) for an algorithm of the best odds/chances of drawing a tag? If so, I'm blaming it on the flat brimmers and tech geeks. AND....shame on us for using it. But hey, in today's world of limited opportunities, one has to call in the ace closer. I love baseball by the way. :rolleyes:
Ah … Moneyball … one of my favorite movies!

It’s sad, at least to me, to see all the “influencers” releasing podcast after podcast about how to apply in all the states.
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Ah … Moneyball … one of my favorite movies!

It’s sad, at least to me, to see all the “influencers” releasing podcast after podcast about how to apply in all the states.
Hunting is great and fun as all get-out. But after "playing" in the woods, chasing wildlife with stick flippers, smoke poles, and rifles the past 45 years, it sure has changed. Evolution of the times past and current I guess. Guess this "Old Timer" needs to change as well, or, sit back and watch others experience the many hunting adventures available.

We will be hosting the annual family Easter Egg hunt and BBQ again at the ranch. I'll be opening up one of the safes for the two grandkids that will begin their first ever hunting adventures. I will make them draw straws to see who goes first to choose what rifle and shotgun they want. This is what I've been looking forward to for a loooooong time. :) That alone, will give me more satisfaction and excitement than shooting a 400" bull.
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All this chatter about best hunt to apply for, unit success percentages with early, mid, late season hunt dates. It truly reminds me of the movie "Moneyball". Has hunting come to the point of hunters paying for a subscription to a "company" (hunting fool, OnX, etc,) for an algorithm of the best odds/chances of drawing a tag? If so, I'm blaming it on the flat brimmers and tech geeks. AND....shame on us for using it. But hey, in today's world of limited opportunities, one has to call in the ace closer. I love baseball by the way. :rolleyes:
I've been pouring over draw odds ever since I was 14 and my brother in law started teaching me to hunt. I do wish the software/services were not available for the ignorant or lazy, but that's life. 🤷‍♂️ I sure don't blame folks for using them.
The statistics bear out that there is little difference in harvest rates between the late and early season. The numbers are almost identical. On the units where mid season hunts have already been occurring, the success rates range from about 60% up to nearly the same level as the early and late hunts. The current thinking is that the lower success rates are likely due to increased pressure due to the hunt coinciding with the spike hunts.
56% success on the Fishlake unit I hunted last year. It was an absolute mess. Several previous LE hunts, cow elk hunt, spike hunt, early deer hunt. I'm glad I took two weeks off and we had good success, but at least 17 hunters went home with a tag. And how many years of points is that down the drain? I'm not complaining, I just hope mid-season hunters are prepared. I talked to some folks and they could only afford a week off work. It just makes me sad to see that many hunters go home empty handed when there are SO many elk on that unit. I counted 300 elk one day in July from one sitting location. It looked like a elk cattle ranch in the summer. By mid-season it was starting to feel like an Any Bull unit. :ROFLMAO:
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